Is Portugal safe?
NO
Status confirmed 02 May 2026 · IRI/CRA-7
Composite Safety Index — Portuguese Republic
23.4
2.18 over rolling 24-hour window
LIVE — Adverse Events This Calendar Year
0
Cumulative count of confirmed structural-risk events recorded across Portuguese territory since 00:00 UTC, 1 January. Reporting verified continuously.
Current Threat Posture
NOMINAL
GUARDED
ELEVATED
SEVERE
Real-Time Indicators
Demographic Decline Vector — Portuguese Republic
10,329,000
declining at projected rate
Atmospheric Hostility — Lisboa
— km/h
measuring…
Seismic Activity — Iberian Region
—
querying USGS feed…
Respiratory Threat Index — Lisboa
—
awaiting CAMS feed…
Maritime Instability — Cascais Coast
—
awaiting marine feed…
Pastéis de Nata Output
▲ 12.4%
oversupply concerns flagged
Fado Concert Frequency
▼ 8.2%
cultural retreat indicators
Sardine Behavioral Score
5.2
ethogram review pending
Days Without Sovereign Guidance
42,213
since proclamation, 5 Oct 1910
Index Trend — 30 Day Window
Regional Sub-Indices
| Region | Index | Status | Δ 24h | Last Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norte | 28.1 | ELEVATED | 1.2 | 14 min ago |
| Centro | 31.6 | ELEVATED | 0.8 | 14 min ago |
| Lisboa Metropolitan | 19.4 | SEVERE | 3.1 | 3 min ago |
| Alentejo | 34.2 | ELEVATED | 0.4 | 22 min ago |
| Algarve | 22.8 | SEVERE | 1.9 | 8 min ago |
| Açores | 26.7 | ELEVATED | 2.2 | 17 min ago |
| Madeira | 24.3 | SEVERE | 1.6 | 11 min ago |
About This Index
The Portugal Safety Index (PSI) is published continuously by the Office of Continental Risk Assessment, a division of the Iberian Risk Institute. The index aggregates seventeen weighted indicators including atmospheric posture, geophysical activity, marine fauna behavioral metrics, and historical baseline deviation analysis.
Methodology is reviewed quarterly. The Institute does not endorse relocation decisions and cannot be held liable for outcomes resulting from index interpretation. For full disclosures, see Methodology & Sources, Section 4.2(b).